The most traditional view of probability is called frequentism, and derives its name from its heritage in games of dice and cards. On this view, we know there is a one in six chance a fair die will ...

We can estimate the chances of an extinction-sized asteroid hitting Earth by examining how many such space rocks have hit the Moon over its history.

Just over half of AI researchers recently surveyed considered a five percent chance of humans being driven to extinction.

Geoffrey Hinton, often referred to as one of the “godfathers” of artificial intelligence, believes there is a 10% to 20% chance that AI could drive humanity to extinction within 30 years.

Software Apps AI safety researcher warns there's a 99.999999% probability AI will end humanity, but Elon Musk "conservatively" dwindles it down to 20% and says it should be explored more despite ...

It's not the first time Musk has floated this probability of human annihilation, although he's previously included a range of 10% to 20%.

Can we learn from the Moon? So what does this mean for the probability of human extinction? Well, such an event would be a one-off: after it happened, there would be no room for repeats.