The Fed’s dot plot is a chart updated quarterly that records each Fed official’s projection for the central bank’s key short-term interest rate, the federal funds rate.

March Dot Plot to Highlight Fed Officials’ Outlook In December, the dots showed the median Fed official expected two rate cuts in 2025.

Wednesday’s dot plot is likely to imply fewer cuts next year. Futures were pricing in just a half percentage point of total easing in 2025, after a quarter-point cut at the December 2024 meeting.

The Problem With Wall Street’s Fixation on the Fed Dot Plot The rate projections give investors and analysts a false sense of precision. Some Fed officials are tired of them.

Conditional questions are unanswerable. But in their indeterminacy, they highlight the fact that trying to time or game the market might not be the best idea.

The dot plot, decoded When the central bank releases its Summary of Economic Projections each quarter, Fed watchers focus obsessively on one part in particular: the so-called dot plot.

(Reuters) -Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday signaled potential changes for the Fed's closely watched "dot plot" interest-rate projections as part of a broad policy framework review ...

CNBC Daily Open: Fed's dot plot calms some market jitters By Yeo Boon Ping, CNBC • Published March 20, 2025 • Updated on March 20, 2025 at 3:39 am Log in or create a free profile to save articles ...

Investors eye Middle East tensions and the Fed's 'dot plot': What to know this week Josh Schafer June 15, 2025 ...

One of Wall Street's top inflation forecasters says investors should not be smitten with the Federal Reserve's so-called dot plot in trying to figure out how many interest-rate cuts are coming ...

Conditional questions are unanswerable. But in their indeterminacy, they highlight the fact that trying to time or game the market might not be the best idea.